It’s been 8 years since we’ve had a White Christmas in Rhode Island.In 2009, we had five inches of snow on the ground on Christmas morning. A White Christmas is defined as at least 1″ of snow on the ground on Christmas. While we’ve had some snow around on more recent Christmases, we haven’t had an official Christmas in quite some time.
On average, 1 in 5 December 25ths are white in Providence….that is, historically, we have a 22% chance of having one inch of snow on Christmas morning in Providence. As you might expect, there is a much greater probability of having a White Christmas in northern Rhode Island. In fact, Foster and Woonsocket have snow on the ground much more frequently on Christmas.
Across the Northeast, Sky Country gets a White Christmas much more frequently and extreme northern New Hampshire and western Maine are almost guaranteed a White Christmas every year.
Heading into the week before Christmas, we do have snow on the ground. The snow depth measured at TF Green Airport was 1″ Sunday morning. That’s not a lot to work with…especially with a pattern change to milder weather upcoming.
The weather pattern does not look favorable for snow on the ground on Christmas morning. For the past week or two, the flood gates have been opened to Arctic blasts, but that’s about to change. The jet stream will re-configure itself to a point where milder air will work into Southern New England. Tuesday will be well above freezing and it’s possible that Saturday could have highs around 50. There will be a quick blast or two of cooler air moving into New England this week, but the overall trend will be for a milder week ahead.
There is hope, however. Where the cold air meets the warm air is usually where a storm can whip up. That is a possibility for Christmas Day.
May your days be merry…and may all your Christmases be white.